IMF urges Uganda to deepen private credit and cut banking costs
ReportWednesday 21 October 2026
An IMF study finds Uganda's private credit-to-GDP ratio rose only 6.7 points between 2001-2005 and 2021-2025, against 13.3 in Kenya. It attributes high spreads largely to operating costs (59.1%) and rising government borrowing that crowds out private lending.
Uganda has the highest interest spreads in the East African Community, so cost and credit-reporting reforms are central to its banking-sector growth.
An Ecofin analysis reports that Ugandan banks' exposure to government debt reached 65% of their private sector lending in 2024. Government securities made up 30.4% of banking-sector assets in March 2025, up from 21% in 2019.
An ARDL model on monthly data from September 2022 to July 2025 finds that higher MDI capital, deposits and e-money inflows reduce credit risk in Uganda's microfinance deposit-taking institutions. The study was published open access on 24 October 2026.